How often does natural gas fluctuate?

I have never lived in a state that has a gas bill before but moving to Georgia, they are asking if I want a fixed rate or variable; right now, fixed is .549/therm (whatever a "therm" is...) with a monthly charge, deposit and commitment contract required. Variable is .349/therm with no other fees or contract required. Variable seems like the better deal to me but how much and often will the cost actually vary? Because right now it seems too good to be true...

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